Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 90.539798 100.924401 111.517837 123.102182 135.383624 147.987523 161.871334
2025-02-23 74.339092 89.289752 105.189698 123.235814 143.031536 163.976522 187.704817
2025-03-02 64.285260 81.744584 100.897279 123.218543 148.281832 175.339876 206.548504
2025-03-09 56.986575 76.270970 98.010720 123.923296 153.583818 186.127177 224.195013
2025-03-16 49.933277 70.311503 93.901799 122.622052 156.081126 193.328813 237.443256
2025-03-23 45.641786 67.195053 92.722089 124.355965 161.744428 203.853604 254.216353
2025-03-30 42.142899 64.712757 92.017982 126.403775 167.568851 214.405835 270.898484
2025-04-06 37.732558 60.714230 89.170312 125.623845 169.851953 220.703338 282.566550
2025-04-13 32.992370 55.910714 85.013703 122.977359 169.680990 223.955186 290.555961
2025-04-20 31.588499 55.437109 86.233117 126.879918 177.328500 236.349941 309.167249
2025-04-27 29.712817 54.163106 86.307574 129.260872 183.062716 246.442365 325.066075
2025-05-04 26.769105 51.169697 83.964867 128.443522 184.764261 251.649062 335.150679
2025-05-11 23.926334 48.144050 81.464799 127.356628 186.112557 256.457852 344.837895
2025-05-18 22.046731 46.405403 80.603437 128.317331 189.968095 264.271543 358.106166
2025-05-25 19.974894 44.203826 78.978106 128.171782 192.350213 270.237470 369.122365
2025-06-01 18.361726 42.590609 78.079086 128.913325 195.802677 277.475898 381.650020
2025-06-08 16.280213 40.038766 75.712483 127.577615 196.513511 281.283543 389.988264
2025-06-15 15.239859 39.137987 75.672956 129.353803 201.207238 289.999656 404.283140
2025-06-22 14.362566 38.444919 75.891030 131.450609 206.299648 299.207169 419.186279
2025-06-29 12.826622 36.448214 74.070201 130.652039 207.554137 303.589834 428.167804
2025-07-06 10.986148 33.696109 70.964069 127.941917 206.202458 304.635944 432.999388
2025-07-13 10.775678 34.023730 72.602074 131.938126 213.748043 316.909487 451.691199
2025-07-20 10.244717 33.676346 73.157133 134.375652 219.212645 326.557482 467.155643